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In the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries, gamblers and mathematicians transformed the idea of chance from a mystery into the discipline of probability, setting the stage for a series of breakthroughs that enabled or transformed innumerable fields, from gambling, mathematics, statistics, economics, and finance to physics and computer science. This book tells the story of ten great ideas about chance and the thinkers who developed them, tracing the philosophical implications of these ideas as well as their mathematical impact. Persi Diaconis and Brian Skyrms begin with Girolamo Cardano, a sixteenth-century physician, mathematician, and professional gambler who helped develop the idea that chance actually can be measured. They describe how later thinkers showed how the judgment of chance also can be measured, how frequency is related to chance, and how chance, judgment, and frequency could be unified. Diaconis and Skyrms explain how Thomas Bayes laid the foundation of modern statistics, and they explore David Hume's problem of induction, Andrey Kolmogorov's general mathematical framework for probability, the application of computability to chance, and why chance is essential to modern physics. A final idea - that we are psychologically predisposed to error when judging chance - is taken up through the work of Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky.


"In this attractively written book, which is rigorous yet informal, Persi Diaconis and Brian Skyrms dispel the confusion about chance and randomness. They range from coin tosses to particle physics and show how chance and probability baffled the best minds for centuries. I cannot imagine a more accessible account of these deep and difficult ideas."--Jon Elster, Columbia University and Collège de France


Autor Persi Diaconis

Autor Brian Skyrms

Szczegóły produktu


GTIN 9780691174167

Data premiery rynkowej 02.01.2018

Język Angielski

Liczba stron 272

Product type Książka

Wielkość 239 x 164 x 21  mm

Ciężar produktu 620 g

Ten Great Ideas about Chance

Persi Diaconis

101,07 zł

Sprzedawca: Dodax EU

Data dostawy: pomiędzy 25, grudnia, wtorek a 27, grudnia, czwartek

Stan: Nowy

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101,07 zł
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